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Archive for December, 2008

Lenders!!! ARRRGGGHHH!

Not long ago, the lending business was very slow, due to the lower number of purchase contracts that were being processed.   As a result, they reduced their loan processing staff and hours of operation to save costs.  Now that the interest rates are dropping due to various forms of government intervention, the number of loan applications has taken a sharp upturn.  The lenders are now overloaded with primarily re-finance applications and turnaround time on loans has been slowed.

I’m facing that with a client right now.  We agreed on a contract on a home purchase early in December when things weren’t as harried, and proposed a closing by the end of the month.  This was a little aggressive, but the buyer’s mortgage broker felt it could be done.  Now that we’re at that point in the month, we’ve already slipped the closing date twice and now have it scheduled for the middle of next week. frustration The lender, which shall remain nameless, is keeping us all in the dark as to the actual date they’ll have the loan package ready, so we set what their rep feels is a conservative target.

As the closing attorney’s paralegal said to me after our fourth phone call trying to nail down a closing date, “You’d think they’d put top priority on the loans that have been approved ahead of processing loan applications!”  I agree, but lenders didn’t get themselves into such a pickle because they were making smart decisions on how to run their companies. 

The good news for us in NC is that from what I hear, the majority of NC re-fi applications are being approved as opposed to many being turned down in some other areas because the home owners have no equity in their homes or for not meeting other loan criteria.  That will add to the stability of the NC housing market.

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Why, indeed?  You’d think that based on what the media gloom and doom writers have to say, you’d better wait until the bottom of the housing market comes.  You can pick the bottom, can’t you?  No?  You mean you’ll know when we’ve seen the bottom only when we see it in the rear view mirror?  What good is that?

OK.  Enough questions.  Here are some answers.  If you have been wanting to move, whether it is to get a larger house, a smaller house, a different location, or whatever, as long as you plan to buy another home and you have some equity built up on your house, the slow housing market really doesn’t matter.  What does matter is that the same market forces that would cause you to price your home lower than you’d like is causing the sellers of homes you’d consider buying to do the same thing.  The amount of price reduction is most clearly the same for both houses if you are in the same market area as the house you’d like to buy.  Think of it this way, if your house had a market price a year ago of $200,000 but today would have to be priced at $ 180,000, that’s a 10% reduction- OUCH!  But, it is likely that the $300,000 house you were looking at is taking the same 10% hit, then the price for that house would be $270,000.  In the first case (the one you thought you’d like to have), the price difference is $100,000.  In the more realistic current market, the price difference is only $90,000Now, tell me which is the better time to buy.  Oh by the way, Kim Peschock, our Century 21 Mortgage rep just sent a note to tell us that the 30 year mortgage rates are holding at between the high 4%  and mid 5% range.  Fifteen year rates are slightly lower.

I’m not suggesting that if you have concerns about your long-term employment that you should be doing this.  However, if you are in a stable situation and have been holding off on a change in your housing situation, now is actually a good time to buy.  Sales volume is slower, but the buyers who are in the market are better qualified than we’ve seen in years, and they are better motivated, too.  The sellers in the market are figuring out this price differential business and are pricing very aggressively.

In November, according to National Association of Realtors, the annualized home sales rate was 4.5 million homes sold.  No, the market is not dead.  If you are one of those involved in one of the 4.5 million homes sales, the market is good!  I’ve got a very good video called Pricing Your Home to Sell by David S. Knox who explains this value phenomenon in more detail.  If you’re local to Iredell County, call me, and I’ll let you borrow it.

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We have a kitchen pantry in our Mooresville home that through the year takes a lot of abuse.  Groceries come home from the store and get crammed in there wherever there is a space. beans Then meals get made after lots of hunting for ingredients hiding behind other ingredients.  Multiple containers of vinegar or powdered sugar or jello come home from the grocery because we can’t remember at the store on the way home from work if we have what we need for preparing the next meal.cereal

No doubt someday there will be some digital, electronic solution for this grocery inventory bedlam (I think I’ve seen this in Poplular Mechanics), but for now, we’re stuck with the manual method that relies on neatness and a good memory.  Unfortunately, neither I nor my bride are models of behavior in either category.  Were we to put our home on sale, knowing that such clutter is a real turnoff to buyers, we’d either have to arrange everything once, then eat out for the duration, or put a lock on the pantry door to prohibit prying eyes- not a good real estate sales technique.

We are not planning on selling our home, but each year we do get some short relief from all of this culinary confusion.  My eldest daughter, Laura, while visiting for the Christmas holidays, takes matters into her own hands.  She apparently inherited some neatness gene from another part of the family (does that skip a generation?) and finds our pantry too jumbled to tolerate.  So, today was her annual reorganizing of the Suther pantry.  She takes “before and after” photos so that she can taunt us with them later in the year- Susan made me take an oath not to show them here.  I’m thinking maybe someday I may use them in my listing client staging instructions showing how much more appealing and spacious an organized pantry looks to a prospective buyer. 

Of course, I won’t offer the source of the photos.

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Got another Christmas done!  We enjoyed multiple family gatherings at our house with much food, good conversation and a few gifts.  We’ve gotten past the honey baked ham or turkey and dressing dinner and moved on to something more interesting, like our jambalaya that is always a good winter meal and was a hit with my family. 

Once again, we had a warm Christmas.  I don’t mean just warm hearts and houses.  I mean 63 degrees and sunny warm.  Thinking back about my growing up in Iredell County and spending most Christmases here, I think we’ve run about 50/50 in having warm vs. cold Christmases.  A few days before, we had highs in the mid thirties, but yesterday was just spectacular.  Not only do we have seasons here, we have seasons within seasons!  It’s not at all unusual to have 40-50 degree swings in daytime highs here through much of the winter.  At least we rarely have sustained cold spells.

The only thing I didn’t like about this is that my bride had mentioned having a fire in the fireplace during the holidays.  I mentioned earlier that she had resisted this for 19 years in this house after having many fires in previous houses.   Then when my youngest daughter, Kathryn, and her husband Ron visited for Thanksgiving, they got her to change her mind, and we enjoyed a fire then.  So, on Christmas Eve, I called an ad in the Mooresville Tribune and got a pickup load of wood delivered, ready for another blazing fire.  Well, you know the rest…  On Christmas day, Susan had me open the doore to the screen porch just to cool off the house.  Oh, well, we’re back to mid forties and overcast today.  I think we’ll be having that next fire soon enough.

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Bloggift

xtree023Since it is the Christmas season, the time of giving, I thought I’d like to give you something.  Blogs are about words, so here is my word gift to you- a couple of bits of wisdom from the pages of the 2009 Farmers’ Almanac.

“The chicken doesn’t stop scratching just because worms are scarce.”  (Appropriate for the Realtors in the audience.)

“It’s a lot easier to form an opinion when you have only a few of the facts.”   (Appropriate for just about everyone.)

meryxmas

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Lucky Man!

Today is the 36th anniversary of  marriage to my lovely bride, Susan.  Yes, I know.  Two days before Christmas?  Crazy, huh?  I can only say that we were young and crazy in love and had very agreeable parents.  See the results below:

Laura, Susan, & Kathryn

Laura, Susan, & Kathryn

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I’ve always been one to look at the world with a “glass half full” perspective.  Now, that doesn’t mean I don’t get down in the dumps once in awhile.  Just ask my wife.  But I’ve been thinking a lot lately about the ultimate effect of the economic downturn that we’re experiencing now.  On an individual basis, many people are going through very difficult times that are damaging to them and their families.  I wish they were not having to deal with these hard time.  However, the German philosopher, Friedrich Nietzsche said “That which does not destroy us makes us stronger.” In my own life, I’ve gone through some times which didn’t threaten to kill me, but certainly were difficult in my own mind, and having survived them, I realized I’d become stronger as a result of it.  As a result I’ve come to understand that we can learn to push through tough times knowing we’ll be stronger when it is done.

I think that is where the world is right now.  We’ve got to deal with some very tough situations, and there’s no way around them.  We may do some things that will make them a bit less disagreeable, but there are no actions we can take to make them go away entirely.

Back in 1997, PBS television aired a program entitled AFFLUENZA and in 1998 another called ESCAPE FROM AFFLUENZA.  They were about our unhealthy focus on wealth and keeping up with the Joneses.  They also offered some advice on how to deal with this affliction.  Those shows and a follow up book are well worth reviewing today.  They suggested that we have been suffering from this disease, and we’ll have to take strong measures in changing the way we live and in what we value in order to overcome the disease.  I associate our current economic downturn as a fever that will have to get worse before it breaks, and we come out of it more resistant to the disease.

It isn’t going to be fun, but at least we as a society will be better off in the long run.

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With all of the attention on housing and interest rates lately, I suspect that many people are confused and don’t know if now is a good time to make a move on buying, selling, or refinancing.  Yes, you can talk to a lender to get a feel for this, and I highly recommend that.  But, if you’re a bit squeemish about this and would rather do some figuring on your own first, you might want to look at one of our calculators.  publication11They help you determine what you could afford, if it is better to buy vs. rent, what your payments would be, or if it is a good time to refinance.  If this looks interesting to you, go HERE to see the calculators.  If you are not sure of what some of the numbers might be, feel free to call or email me.

If you would like to talk to a lender rep., I have the names of several whom I would recommend as being very professional and interested in helping clients get the deal that is best for them in the long run.  Just call me for a some recommendations.

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One of Mooresville, NC’s largest employer groups is the large concentration of auto and truck racing teams that are based in our area.  They have provided a very good client base for our real estate agents over the years, so we are always concerned when they face difficulties in their industry.  A while back, we started hearing about the slowing economy causing race fans to cut back on their spending for their favorite hobby.  Then, when gas prices shot up during the closing weekends of the race season, fans were affected more by the cost of attending races, especially when having to drive long distances to the tracks.  Now, with the economy in a sustained downturn, sponsorships, both by the major manufacturers and all the other associated companies, are being sharply reduced or drying up altogether.  The result is the annoucement of significant layoffs from most of the race teams.  These are people who have homes and families in the Mooresville area who are going to be looking for new work.  A local group has even created a web site to help them match up with new employers- DontCheckup.com.

Recently, Stan Thompson, a local resident who writes occasional columns in the Mooresville Tribune, wrote an interesting piece that questions whether NASCAR and other racing promoters will be able to follow along when the nature of cars we drive will change, moving toward greener, more fuel efficient cars.  Of course, if they do, the cars and environment of racing will have to change substantially.  The question is- will they understand the need to do this, then do it?  If they resist it because they liked the way things have been and don’t want to change, then they may go the way of the manufacturers.

See the previous post about Tucker and the BIG 3.

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I’ve spent a good bit of time today working on a large Christmas mailing to my friends.  The assembly and stamping of all those pieces doesn’t require a lot of mental attention so I decided to watch a movie that I’ve had recorded for awhile.  The movie was Tucker: The Man and His Dream.  It stars Jeff Bridges as Preston Tucker who after WWII came up with a revolutionary design for a passenger car that excited the nation but scared the BIG 3 into squashing him.  The Tucker had a flat 6 cylinder rear engine, disc brakes, pop out safety glass, safety cage, doors cut into the roof, headlight that tucker1turned with the steering, and many other cool features that Detroit hadn’t thought of.  The movie came out in 1988 and did OK but not great. 

While watching the movie, it struck me that back then, the Detroit automakers were kings of the hill, while just this morning, President Bush announced a short term loan to the BIG 3 to keep them alive until the next administration comes in and decides if they’ll offer more help, or allow them to go into bankruptcy and reorganization.  Lots of lessons are here about embracing innovation rather than resisting it, not getting too big for your britches, planning ahead, etc.  I’d recommend the movie to you, especially now.

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